Footy Families in Focus with John Walker
Host Nii Wallace-Bruce sits down with John Walker, Scottish football coach and analyst, to discuss the evolving role of analytics in football [1:35], focusing on its adoption in the UK and the impact of American investment in clubs like Glasgow Rangers. They delve into the success of Brentford and Brighton using data-driven recruitment [2:15] and the innovative model of the Right to Dream Academy [6:29]. They also touch on the rising popularity and unique challenges of the A-League in Australia [14:58], and the future prospects of San Diego in MLS [13:37] and the Canadian national team ahead of the next World Cup [17:19].
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John Walker:
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Opening and closing music courtesy of Jeremiah Alves - "Evermore".
Transcript
I am your host, me, Wallace Bruce, and football is in session.
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:It's, international break
coming up in the men's
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:John Walker: Okay.
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:PSP: A guy with the most
refreshing name in football.
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:John Walker.
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:You can find on X.
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:At Walker underscore John, how
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:John Walker: Sorry, Oh, I'm good, mate.
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:Just finished my working day and
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:PSP: Tell us about that
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:John Walker: I'm a coach by trade,
coaching football and academy
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:football for about five or six years.
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:it's a closed shop if you've never had a
professional or semi professional career.
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:So I started turning my hand a little
bit to analysis and throughout that,
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:again, I started working with individual
players on a one to one basis when
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:I was at teams, but then started to
realise that within Scottish football
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:there was probably a massive gap.
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:And the market for that type of work
with people playing professionally at
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:clubs because not a lot of money in
Scottish football and if players want
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:to improve, it's off their own back.
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:So I work with a couple of confidential
clients within the Scottish Premier
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:League who I do work for literally just
going for the clips in an individual
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:basis, technical and discussions around
their clubs, what they think they can
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:do better and nothing that's tactical
because that's always going to fall on
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:the the management and coaching staff
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:So I can't interfere with that.
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:from that I've started working with
not my own agency, but an agency in
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:Scotland who, who deal with players.
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:So I'm kind of working with their
clientele on onboarding one to one clips,
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:PSP: Now,
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:in North America, where I am.
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:only need to look at baseball, the
Moneyball era of the:
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:way it's changed the game since.
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:Basketball has the game, where teams
are more inclined to shoot three
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:pointers, As opposed to going for
a more attainable two point shot.
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:You're seeing it in hockey and
in the NFL The NFL teams are
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:more likely to go for it in short
yardage situations on fourth down.
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:How has analytics shaped
the round ball game
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:John Walker: So it's a slow burn.
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:especially within the UK, America and
North America are always going to be miles
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:ahead of us just because of funding and
access to better technology and software.
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:the money ball system
adopted by Brentford,
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:PSP: to go,
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:John Walker: especially in recruitment,
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:PSP: hour
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:John Walker: we don't know
what the Jamestown Analytics
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:model is that Brighton use,
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:they're using computerized
data to recruit,
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:PSP: interview.
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:John Walker: there isn't
anyone better than Brighton.
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:PSP: project
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:John Walker: on recruitment and
consistent performance within the team
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:It's not like they're just recruiting
and selling players for better money.
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:They're also performing on the pitch
and staying in the Premier League.
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:I think that's going to fall into
place Hart of Midlodian in the
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:Scottish Premier League a top six
side, usually top three or four, are
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:now working with Jamestown Analytics.
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:In Scottish football, we're starting to
see people leverage against those, those
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:data models that can help potentially
recruitment and help potentially then
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:get player sales increased and then on
the pitch it's going to have results
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:as well because if you're recruiting
well and getting good players that
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:are going to improve at your club,
so data sets and the data modelling
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:and all that good stuff on the
recruitment side is definitely working.
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:In the actual playing side,
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:PSP: Transcription
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:John Walker: to understand
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:PSP: Okay.
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:John Walker: people learn differently.
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:whether that's in
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:PSP: So
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:John Walker: Corporate working
environments, and financial environments,
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:PSP: I'll see
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:John Walker: learn by doing, some
people need to see what they're
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:doing, some people need both.
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:And that's the bit that analysis
is probably bringing, and that
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:you're seeing footballers decision
making become better and better.
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:As time's going on and I think
the analysis and the coverage
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:of analysis is, is doing that.
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:And I think we're seeing that with, with
coaches as well, which is why there's
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:so many non playing coaches coming
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:PSP: president of FC Porto, Villas Boas.
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:Remember him He was one of the
frontline coaches who didn't have
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:a big playing career interesting
to see that proliferation nowadays.
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:I guess the trend of foreign ownership
with clubs, particularly in the UK,
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:seeing a lot of North Americans coming
in to buy clubs, do you think we might
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:see a faster transition to analytics?
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:John Walker: Yes, I think you're going
to see that with Glasgow Rangers, over
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:the next 6 to 24 months with the 49ers
group having apparently purchased a
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:majority share They're connected with
Leeds United on the cusp of becoming
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:a Premier League team, I imagine their
deal with Glasgow Rangers looks to be
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:concluded pretty much everything but in
due diligence and putting names to paper.
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:They will have looked at Rangers and
Scottish football if they have data
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:models for recruitment playing style
and identifying coaches already in place
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:within the 49ers group in Leeds United.
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:It's very little cost to roll that
model out into Rangers, get the right
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:players in, use them in Scottish
football, promote them sell them, and
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:do what Celtic have been doing winning
trophies, qualifying for Champions League
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:football, which brings them massive
dividends that they can take back out
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:to their shareholders, recruit well,
sell better, and continue that process.
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:you'll see a lot of these US firms
that have got good data models
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:already set up within other clubs
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:PSP: Yes.
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:John Walker: if they do
it right, I think maybe
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:PSP: Rangers
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:John Walker: is unique in that because
Because Celtic are so profitable and you
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:can see that, but there'll be a lot of
people that will try the Wrexham route,
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:will try the Birmingham route, will
try the Burnley route, Leeds United,
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:that will go and try and buy teams who
are just underneath the Premier League
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:in England, access to the Champions
League in Scotland, and so on, and
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:just kind of leverage the data models
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:PSP: Rangers
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:they're a big club, a relatively big
club, but just that they've had a
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:few years where they were essentially
in the wilderness because of.
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:Some off field stuff.
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:They're definitely the sleeping giant.
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:You know exactly what I'm talking about.
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:I'm sure we could go on about that
for hours, but I'm not gonna bring
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:up any previous trauma there.
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:Now John, you've touched on something
that's interesting because the 49ers With
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:what they're doing at Leeds, what they
could potentially do with Rangers, they
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:could have a family of football clubs.
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:that's on the rise in football nowadays.
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:Because the City Football Group,
they're the most famous ones.
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:subject to penalties.
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:I think there are 115 penalties
that Man City has to answer to.
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:Overall, they have a number
of clubs around the world,
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:almost on every continent.
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:You have the Red Bull.
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:They have clubs, again, in different
leagues, different continents,
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:their footprints, around the world.
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:One, group that is underrated,
hasn't been talked about enough,
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:is the Right to Dream Academy.
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:So, got clubs in Denmark, in
Ghana, in Egypt, I believe.
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:And now, San Diego, in the MLS,
You did a deep dive analysis
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:into the Right to Dream Academy.
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:Tell us about that.
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:John Walker: Yeah, they're a fascinating
one, I came across 24 months ago
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:through journalist, Jordan Campbell,
and a Scottish coach, Fraser Robertson,
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:now, with Standard Liège, I think,
who had kind of worked in that
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:academy when it was kind of growing.
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:And Rangers were then, Glasgow Rangers
were then linked with buying a player
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:from Norseland, Mohamed Diamondi, who'd
come through that Right to Dream Academy.
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:He's Ivorian, he was picked up and
moved to Ghana when he was 12 to be
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:part of the Right to Dream Academy
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:PSP: just
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:John Walker: Ghana then to Norseland
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:Denmark, breaks into their academy.
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:PSP: part
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:John Walker: selling players
regularly for 15, 20 million.
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:Even players they sell for less tend to
go for massive money on their next move.
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:Mohamed Kudos and Damsgaard at
Brentford went from Sampdoria.
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:the recruitment model is
brilliant at the back end.
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:PSP: helpful.
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:John Walker: they're doing at
the front end is they have a very
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:clear philosophy from under 12s all
the way through to a first team.
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:And that doesn't change.
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:Same with women's football age
groups to their first team.
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:It's the same coaching philosophy.
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:same analysis protocols with all
the players on a one to one basis
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:and the players with a team basis.
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:It's all the games,
same coaching sessions.
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:same game model.
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:So realistically all they're doing is
realise that if you have that consistent
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:model the whole way through your
academy, male or female, from Ghana
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:to Denmark, you can then roll out a
team, as you're seeing, in the MLS in
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:USA, that follows the same model, and
having watched the pre season friendly
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:against New York Red Bulls, I could
have put Norseland strips on the players
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:and it would have looked the same.
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:The way they set up, the way they
press, the way they play, the way
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:they break out of teams, the way
they attack in the front three.
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:It's the exact same team.
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:they'll leverage recruitment if young
players that maybe can't quite physically
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:cope with danish football yet they
might move them to the mls for a season
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:that might benefit them and get them
back it's it seems to me if you do it
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:right it's a very very clever model
same way that union san joel are being
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:used for brighton to kind of develop
i think mitoma was probably the best
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:example of that he spent a season on
loan there After signing for Brighton,
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:and he's now one of the most dangerous
swingers in the Premier League, so
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:PSP: Right.
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:John Walker: you would kinda expand on
what works good once you've got it in
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:a position that can be scaled up And
Norseland, from everything I see, is that
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:They've done a YouTube video, which I
think is where we discovered each other
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:PSP: Yeah.
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:John Walker: through all age groups
How they implement that to the first
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:team, develop first team players
and continue to grow those players,
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:because it's It's pretty remarkable
when you see the consistency in
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:which they are selling players for
10 15 million almost every season.
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:it's not like they're just creating
one position, although the wide
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:area positions are the ones that are
bringing in the most money attackers
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:go for the biggest fees because
that's the ones that everyone wants.
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:just smart.
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:A lot is leveraged
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:PSP: how
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:John Walker: attacking football, which
recruitment is 99 percent data now.
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:PSP: ahead
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:John Walker: unlikely to find a
footballer just off the naked eye,
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:although it will still happen.
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:There'll still be players that come
through that don't hit data markers, but
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:you can see there's something in there.
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:PSP: excited
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:John Walker: the first part is appearing
on data scout reports, and if you've
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:got wingers getting 10 assists every
season, from 17 years old to 20,
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:it's going to raise some eyebrows and
people are going to be interested.
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:And if you can do that consistently,
you become a trusted buyer.
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:If people are looking for a player,
they will go look at Norrish
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:Land first and see what's there.
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:So everything that they're
doing, I don't see.
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:A negative for me in the fact they've
managed to keep it so consistent
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:PSP: Comparing City and Red Bull built
on significant capital, whether it
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:was corporate capital with Red Bull,
or state capital when you look at the
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:Abu Dhabi on the City group of clubs.
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:But it seems like Right to Dream
has come from opposite end.
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:It's more about, it's more
player based, it seems less about
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:Pumping money in and more about
generating from the play of sales.
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:John Walker: Yeah, that's exactly it.
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:once you've got it working,
it becomes easy to run.
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:they had to set up the
academy points in Africa.
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:So they had to get the scouts in place.
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:get the coaches willing to
work scout and live in Africa.
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:Once they get that and make a reputation
for themselves and those players
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:start going to Europe those academies
are then becoming like a homing
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:beacon for players around Africa who
if they hear it right to dream are
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:interested They're going to go there.
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:They know there's a likeliness if they
do well there They're going to go to
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:Norseland or now you've got the NLS
link There is pathways to go to first
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:team clubs in good environments where
they can constantly see You a pathway
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:to Premier League football, and that's,
once that's becoming, you're getting
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:just income coming in every year, you've
got a blanket over Africa, to say,
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:we're the leading developer of youth
talent from Africa, if you want your
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:kid to be successful, he needs to come
to Ghana, or one of our hubs in Africa,
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:PSP: sort
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:John Walker: working for them.
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:Are starting to be so consistently in
the top four in the Danish league helps.
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:The fact that they're going to
make the playoffs and probably
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:PSP: know,
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:John Walker: imagine, if they
keep up the way they're playing.
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:I've been impressed by how they started.
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:That then becomes a club that you
would want to go to in the MLS.
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:it just kind of snowballs from
there with, with very little.
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:There'll never be a team that go
and start signing people for 10, 15
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:million because they don't need to.
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:15 million pound players.
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:continually coming through a
conveyor belt in their academy.
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:And I just don't see how that stops.
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:The only way that stops if everyone
involved was to get a blank
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:check from a Manchester United
to run Man United the same way.
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:But I even think when listening to and
talking to people from within it, I think
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:their infrastructure is just so sound.
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:PSP: some
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:John Walker: You could lose 10, 15
staff and as long as the blueprint
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:is there, it's going to be there,
which I think is really impressive.
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:PSP: less common.
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:John Walker: to me more clubs at
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:PSP: don't
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:John Walker: higher level aren't doing.
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:We're consistently seeing
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:PSP: but
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:John Walker: how much
money Man United are losing
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:PSP: can just
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:John Walker: hundreds
of millions every year.
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:PSP: don't
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:John Walker: you would assume Man
United would have the best academy.
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:people linked to Man United went to
the Right to Dream Academy and have
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:set up this kind of feeder club.
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:Yeah.
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:That's working in a way that Man United
have just paid 37 million for Dorgoo.
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:They left link back.
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:Who was that in Norseland four years ago?
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:So it's quite, it's quite remarkable
and I just All they can do now in
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:Norseland is continually scale up.
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:But they don't strike me as
people that will have a bite
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:off more than they can chew.
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:the San Diego MLS branch
is a very clever one.
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:I think you could see something in
the A League potentially, or Asia.
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:That could happen down the line, but
yeah, it's very clever the way they've
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:done it, it's your bamboo shooting up,
you've not really seen much of the ground
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:work, and then all of a sudden you're
like, oh my god, where's this example
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:of almost perfect corporate structure
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:PSP: There's always something bubbling
under the surface Now, you've piqued
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:my interest with a couple of things.
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:I was born and raised in Australia,
so have an intimate knowledge of
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:the A League and the trials and
tribulations they've gone through,
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:particularly when it comes to ownership.
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:We'll get to that in a moment.
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:I just want to get a quick
thoughts on San Diego.
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:It's a youthful setup.
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:They're going into one of the
biggest leagues in the world.
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:There's going to be some groin pains,
but can we see this club, contending
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:in the next Boothway seasons?
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:John Walker: I think the way they've
signed, bringing players in that suit
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:the system, I know they've brought a
couple of players that have actually
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:played for Knowledge Land and actually
played for the company already, so that
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:helps with bedding and the process.
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:I think they'll challenge this year.
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:I don't see a scenario in the, the
results that I've seen pre season,
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:especially the last one against New
York, and then they're picking up seven
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:points and they're opening three games
and the two wins that they've had.
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:I just don't see it.
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:I see the first game, they had 69 percent
possession, which I was like, that's
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:exactly what we're seeing with Norseland.
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:It's absolute dominance of the ball.
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:It's attacking football.
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:Yes, they'll come up against
loading, and the amount of games
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:that we're going to have to play.
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:But I think there'll be
a team that regularly.
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:quickly in the playoffs and then once
you're in the playoffs it is your lottery
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:to see how who you've kept fit for that
point in the season, how you get on I
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:really like the recruitment they've done.
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:this year was about embedding in the
process with experienced heads which is
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:why the age of the squad is a bit higher
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:PSP: promising signs
the MLS season is, long.
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:Although one advantage San Diego has
is they don't have any competitions.
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:They're not making long trips to,
Costa Rica They're well positioned.
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:The A League is positioning itself
as a league of renown in Asia.
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:You touched on the fact that
the Right to Dream Academy
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:could have a footprint there.
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:What's your take on the A League,
particularly when the Socceroos
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:have been poaching Scottish players?
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:John Walker: I am a,
massive fan of the A League.
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:It used to run a betting podcast
about four or five seasons ago and
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:that became a staple for Saturday and
Sunday morning kick offs in the UK.
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:We used to love the over 2.
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:5 market because I could
not believe the culture.
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:now in Scotland having seen Ange
Postacoglu appear at Celtic.
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:I now understand a little bit more
as to what the Australian culture and
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:Australian style of football It's very
aggressive, very attacking, and sometimes
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:not as technically gifted as it could be.
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:Some of the pitches could be better.
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:But I do like the fact that
it does seem full throttle
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:and everyone's out for goals.
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:Really, really impressive.
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:I've obviously kept a wee eye,
when Jack Hendry went over.
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:Unfortunately, he got injured in his
first game, which was detrimental.
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:Ziggy Gordon went over and was
with Central Coast Mariners.
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:I really enjoyed watching them.
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:I thought that was the first real
insight I had to Australian football.
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:I really like it.
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:I think there will be a struggle for A
lot of Australian footballers to go into
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:the UK, I know his, is it Marco Tillio?
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:I know Celtic signed a player and they
just couldn't quite get his physique to
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:where they thought it needed to be to
play in Scotland, every time I watched
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:him I had a bit of fear because I thought
Celtic had signed an absolute world
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:beater, this seems like the first player
that I've watched, that's came through.
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:And being young he could come
to the UK and be comfortable But
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:maybe you're missing the nuance of
how physical British football is.
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:And that kind of gap appears there.
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:But as a league, it's, it's a
very enjoyable thing to switch on.
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:I'm, I'm, I'm very often on a Friday
morning starting my working day with
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:the A League game on BT Sport or TNT
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:PSP: is on the rise.
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:The coaching talent has
also increased and improved.
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:Poskoglu is the headline.
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:You've got Tony Popovich, Harry Kuhl,
former soccerers making their names.
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:The Matildas women's side,
they've been going strong.
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:They've had a good Cup last time out.
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:They are rebuilding but doing well.
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:John, I wanted to get one last thought
because the Men's World Cup next
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:year is in the US, Mexico and Canada.
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:and the US always get the, the attention.
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:What have you seen with the Canadian
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:John Walker: Next slide,
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:PSP: Jesse Martian, the way
he's been running things?
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:John Walker: I've missed quite a lot
of Canada's recent stuff, I probably
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:kept more of an eye on Canada when
Scott Arfield was more prevalent.
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:it was kind of funny, I was watching
the opening weekend of MLS, I keep an
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:eye on Vancouver because of Ryan Gauld.
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:I had completely forgot.
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:And he was somebody I tweeted
about five years ago when he
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:made his debut for Toronto.
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:I'd completely forgot about Jaden Nelson.
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:I watched him in the opening
game in the LIS and the fact
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:he's only 22 is astounding.
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:But that makes sense.
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:'cause he was 15, 16
when he made his debut.
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:He's someone that, for me, if he
can put an MLS season, I'd be really
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:excited to see him with David.
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:Alfonso Davis, I'm caught in two minds.
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:I'm happy Ryan Gould chose Scotland,
but I know there was little rumours
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:around him, potentially, seeking
some sort of citizenship to beat the
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:World Cup, but Canada are improving.
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:Canada will continue to improve.
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:I think I'll probably be able to watch
David in an hour against Dortmund.
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:There are players playing for big clubs.
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:Alphonso Davies went through last night.
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:So there are, I mean, there's players
playing for Kennedy National Team that
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:are playing at a higher level than
Scottish footballers are in Europe
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:now I think it's exciting for all
three home nations for the World Cup.
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:Canada will probably get
the right coach in place.
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:I think it's exciting.
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:I think there may still be
surprises coming through the next
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:international break there's a good core
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:PSP: And Daniel Jettison has
committed to Canada, the Bournemouth
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:player, and also promised David
planning his trade in Belgium.
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:Marsh has definitely been
using the charm offensive.
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:In the lead up to the World Cup,
so the squad continues to evolve.
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:One thing that continues to
evolve is your tactical analysis.
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:We can find you on Twitter,
at JohnWalkerUnderscore:
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:The most refreshing name in football.
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:I say that as, Johnnie Walker
bottles are being taken off the
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:shelves here in Canada because of
tariffs, but we won't get into that.
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:Where else can we find your work, John?
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:John Walker: on LinkedIn, John
Walker on LinkedIn, Facebook,
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:John Walker Football Analytics.
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:I've got a TikTok somewhere, but
to say it's used would be a lie.
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:I'm mainly on Twitter.
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:that's my main place.
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:PSP: When you can cut through the
chaff it's a much nicer place to be.
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:I'd definitely cosign that.
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:I've been your host, Nameless Bruce, and
this has been another episode of PSP.